Gold Expected to Reach 2725 High
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In recent days, the price of gold has exhibited a continuous upward trajectory, fueled by favorable economic indicators, including the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and unemployment claims dataAnalysts note that these factors have created a conducive environment for gold to thrive in the financial marketParticularly from Monday to Thursday of this week, gold has persistently climbed the charts, reaching a notable peak of 2725 on Thursday—a high reminiscent of its previous mark on December 18thThis development has set the stage for what now appears to be a double-top formation, raising questions about potential pullbacks and what will unfold in the market on Friday.
While gold has seen a robust rise, silver's performance has starkly contrastedDespite its potential, silver has yet to breach the 31 mark, thus lacking the momentum for a unilateral and sustained upward surgeThe current market trend indicates that silver is remaining under the 31 threshold, inviting speculation as to whether it can effectively rebound or if it will plummet furtherOil has found itself on a similar, albeit more fluctuating pathOn Thursday, it registered a notable drop with support at 77.8. Nonetheless, this retreat has not dismantled its overall bullish sentiment, as it bounced back to settle above 79, prompting analysts to maintain a bullish outlook for the near term.
The surge in gold prices on Thursday was significant, with prices climbing to their highest level in over a monthRecent data reflecting the American economic landscape have helped further push down U.S. treasury yields, influencing market behaviorThe week’s core inflation figures have been lackluster, leading to growing bets that the Federal Reserve may adopt a more dovish stance, which many perceive as beneficial for goldConcurrently, the calmness surrounding inflationary pressures in the U.S. economy assuages fears of a resurgence in price spikes
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Strong performance across financial sectors has also buoyed the U.S. stock markets, resulting in the largest single-day percentage gains for the three major indices since early November.
However, the stock market remained volatile, oscillating between slight gains and lossesEconomic reports indicated robust consumer spending and a solid labor market, fostering expectations that the Federal Reserve might continue with a measured approach to interest rate cuts throughout the yearAs Friday approaches, eyes are keenly focused on future data releases that could shape market trends—including Chinese GDP figures, retail data from the UK, CPI data from the Eurozone, and U.S. manufacturing statistics.
On the currency front, the U.S. dollar continued its adjustment path seen on Wednesday, closing around 108.7. Market fundamentals suggest that the dollar may experience some stimulating corrections, indicating a potential for further upward movement, as adjustments may be fulfilling demand for a temporary retreatThis opens doors for future growth—110 may not serve as the ceiling for the dollarIn contrast, gold has maintained a steady oscillation upward this week, supported by the encouraging unemployment claims dataThis bullish momentum has propelled gold to the 2725 mark, forming a double top alongside previous peaks from December's trading.
Technically speaking, the daily chart implies possibilities of breaching the upper Bollinger band, indicating a potential for one-sided growthContinued upward movement might lead to a further breach at 2725, eliminating any predictions of a market ceiling for the foreseeable futureNevertheless, recognizing gold's current strength, it is advisable to leverage pullbacks as buying opportunitiesOver the H4 timeframe, a clear bullish trend has emerged, characterized by distinct upward divergence in moving averages and Bollinger band openings.
Caution remains crucial, however, particularly during high-level oscillations
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